In a recent New Yorker, James
Surowiecki (author of The Wisdom of Crowds) wrote
an article about health-care reform in which he brought up
what’s known as the Endowment
Effect. The Endowment Effect (EE) essentially says that
people overvalue what they already have. There’s debate among
behavioral economists about the existence or importance of this
impulse, but it’s supported by a
small body of empirical evidence.
My thoughts, when I first read the article and then did a
little research into this hypothesis, turned to entrepreneurism, and
whether or not the EE can help explain why or why not certain people
can make the leap from the comfort of a full-time job working for
someone else to the risks and potential rewards of starting a new
business. Do people overvalue the safety of working for someone else?
Perhaps classic risk-aversion theory be supplemented with the EE to
explain why potential entrepreneurs struggle with the decision to
strike out on their own.
What factors come into play here? In terms of the Endowment
Effect, what might you be overvaluing or undervaluing as you ponder an
entrepreneurial life?
|
Overvalue?
|
Undervalue?
|
| Current salary |
Owning significant equity in your own business |
| Job safety |
Self-determination |
| Predictability |
Opportunity |
| Conformity |
Independence |
A lot of these things are non-economic and have to do with
behavioral psychology. What’s interesting, and valuable, about the EE
hypothesis is that it can be used to explain both hard-economic as well
as soft-psychological value. Although explained experimentally in
terms of financial value, the EE is not strictly an economic hypothesis
– the concept of value can take on forms. We don’t need to be able to
experimentally assign a hard-dollar value to the notion of
“predictability”, for example, to know that predictability is valuable
to many people. And when you debate whether to launch your startup,
how can you know for sure – and thus, fairly evaluate – the financial
rewards? Even more problematic is trying to assign a value to things
like job safety. For example, at some level, we
all know that the value of job safety is not the same as in our
parent's’ day. The social
contract has changed; economic cycles are swifter and more
volatile; the certainty of lifetime employment is an ephemera. But the
EE suggests that, for those of us who are employed, we still overvalue
our jobs, merely because we have them. The flip side of the argument,
then, is that we systematically undervalue entrepreneurism, merely
because we haven’t yet done it.
I’m curious to hear from the entrepreneurs who have made the
leap – what, in hindsight, did you overvalue before you started your
business, and what about the entrepreneurial life did you come to
understand to be much more valuable than you originally thought? Let
us know in the comments!